Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for SIMON-14 in Mexico from 02 Oct 2014 09:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2014 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SIMON-14

in Mexico

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SIMON-14 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	212 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (07 Oct 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	138 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	212 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

138 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
2	02 Oct 2014 03:00	111	No people	No people	Mexico
3	02 Oct 2014 09:00	111	No people	No people	Mexico
4	02 Oct 2014 15:00	130	No people	No people	Mexico
5	02 Oct 2014 21:00	138	No people	No people	Mexico
6	03 Oct 2014 03:00	138	No people	No people	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	10/1/2014 9:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	17.3, -104.4
2	10/2/2014 3:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17.8, -105.4
3	10/2/2014 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	18.1, -106.1
4	10/2/2014 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	18.4, -107.1
5	10/2/2014 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	18.3, -108
6	10/3/2014 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	18.1, -108.2
6	10/3/2014 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	101	no people	no people	18.3, -109.8	Mexico
6	10/4/2014	Category 1	121	no people	no people	18.9, -111.5	Mexico
6	10/4/2014 12:00:00 PM	Category 1	130	no people	no people	19.6, -113.3
6	10/5/2014	Category 1	138	no people	no people	20.7, -114.8
6	10/6/2014	Category 1	130	no people	no people	22.5, -115.6
6	10/7/2014	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	24, -115.5
6	10/8/2014	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	24.5, -115.5

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in San Felipe, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Oct 2014 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (12 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 24 of 07 Oct 2014 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	07 Oct 2014 16:00	San Felipe	Mexico	0.2
	08 Oct 2014 08:00	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.2
	07 Oct 2014 17:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.1
	08 Oct 2014 23:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2014 14:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2014 14:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2014 17:00	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2014 18:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2014 14:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2014 15:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2014 18:00	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	07 Oct 2014 15:00	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.